Kentucky Derby 2018: Will There Be Rain Or Shine?

Kentucky Derby 2018: Will There Be Rain Or Shine?Each year, one of the biggest questions that horse enthusiasts have is ‘will it rain during the Kentucky Derby?’. This question is not only valid for those visiting the track, but is an important question for those betting on the next winner of the Run for the Roses.

Last year, we saw a muddy track, showers, and a low of 42-degrees on the first Saturday of May. Always Dreaming was the 9-2 favorite that managed to make the weather conditions work in his favor and claim victory.

This year, Justify is the clear favorite to win the Kentucky Derby with 2-1 odds and Magnum Moon is not far behind with 4-1 odds. Justify has the highest Beyer Speed Figure of any horse in the field (107) and also has experience on a wet track. In a recent allowance race at Santa Anita, Justify won by 6 ½ lengths on a muddy track.

Aside from the 143rd running of the race, we have not had to deal with a muddy or sloppy track since 2013. All of the current weather predictions indicate that this year could start another warm-weather streak, with temperatures expected to be in the 80’s throughout the week.

AccuWeather Meteorologist Mike Doll has noted that there could potentially be a shower during the Kentucky Oaks on Friday, but the track is expected to be dry on Saturday for the 144th running of the Kentucky Derby.

In any case, it’s worth noting that Justify is not the only three-year-old with experience on a wet track. My Boy Jack (16-1) had a 4 ½ length victory in a Grade 3 Stakes race over Combatant, while Firenze Fire (60-1) posted a half-length win in the Jerome Stakes at Aqueduct in January.

During his career start at Saratoga in September, Enticed (18-1) won by a length and three-quarters over a muddy track. Free Drop Billy (40-1) came in second at Saratoga in the Hopeful on a wet-fast track.

Though the odds are that horse fans in sports betting states can stay dry while enjoying the 2018 Kentucky Derby on May 5th, it’s always a good idea to check the weather conditions before visiting Churchill – and placing your bets!